Currently our research focuses on the following weather systems:
- Tropical cyclones, their transition into extratropical systems and their impact on the downstream flow. more...
- Dynamics and Predictability of tropical cyclones in idealised scenarios and TC forecasts using adaptive numerical methods.more...
- Weather systems of the African Monsoon - African easterly waves with embedded convection, developing tropical cyclones - and their interaction with the Saharan Air layer. more...
- Widespread precipitation associated with frontal systems and the enhancement over complex terrain.
- Winter storms and their interaction with local-scale orographic structures.
- Severe thunderstorms and their impacts due to heavy precipitation and hail damage.
Our methodology is:
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Analysis of output from operational numerical weather prediction models and ensemble prediction systems.
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Numerical modelling of case studies and idealised situations with a hierarchy of models ranging from full-physics (MM5, LM, LMK) to simplified models.
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Statistical Analysis of observational data from several systems (ground based stations, radiosoundings, radar data, loss data from insurance companies).
All current and completed projects of the group “Weather systems: modelling and risk analysis” are described on the Project sites.
