Currently our research focuses on the following weather systems:
- Tropical cyclones, their transition into extratropical systems and their impact on the downstream flow. more...
- Dynamics and Predictability of tropical cyclones in idealised scenarios and TC forecasts using adaptive numerical methods.more...
- Weather systems of the African Monsoon - African easterly waves with embedded convection, developing tropical cyclones - and their interaction with the Saharan Air layer. more...
- Widespread precipitation associated with frontal systems and the enhancement over complex terrain.
- Winter storms and their interaction with local-scale orographic structures.
- Severe thunderstorms and their impacts due to heavy precipitation and hail damage.
Our methodology is:
Analysis of output from operational numerical weather prediction models and ensemble prediction systems.
Numerical modelling of case studies and idealised situations with a hierarchy of models ranging from full-physics (MM5, LM, LMK) to simplified models.
Statistical Analysis of observational data from several systems (ground based stations, radiosoundings, radar data, loss data from insurance companies).
All current and completed projects of the group “Weather systems: modelling and risk analysis” are described on the Project sites.