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Winter pressures on the UK health system dominated by the Greenland Blocking weather regime.
Charlton-Perez, A. J.; Aldridge, R. W.; Grams, C. M.; Lee, R.
2019. Weather and climate extremes, 25, 100218. doi:10.1016/j.wace.2019.100218
The climatological impact of recurving North Atlantic tropical cyclones on downstream extreme precipitation events.
Pohorsky, R.; Röthlisberger, M.; Grams, C. M.; Riboldi, J.; Martius, O.
2019. Monthly weather review, 147 (5), 1513–1532. doi:10.1175/MWR-D-18-0195.1
Representation of synoptic-scale Rossby Wave Packets and Blocking in the S2S Prediction Project Database.
Quinting, J. F.; Vitart, F.
2019. Geophysical research letters, 46 (2), 1070–1078. doi:10.1029/2018GL081381
The Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones Part II: Interaction with the midlatitude flow, downstream impacts, and implications for predictability.
Keller, J. H.; Grams, C. M.; Riemer, M.; Archambault, H. M.; Bosart, L.; Doyle, J. D.; Evans, J. L.; Galarneau, T. J. , Jr.; Griffin, K.; Harr, P. A.; Kitabatake, N.; McTaggart-Cowan, R.; Pantillon, F.; Quinting, J.; Reynolds, C. A.; Ritchie, E. A.; Torn, R. D.; Zhang, F.
2019. Monthly weather review, 147, 1077–1106. doi:10.1175/MWR-D-17-0329.1
The intensity and motion of hybrid cyclones in the Australian region in a composite potential vorticity framework.
Quinting, J. F.; Reeder, M. J.; Catto, J. L.
2019. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (718), 273–287. doi:10.1002/qj.3430
Synoptic climatology of hybrid cyclones in the Australian region.
Quinting, J. F.; Catto, J. L.; Reeder, M. J.
2019. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (718), 288–302. doi:10.1002/qj.3431
Two Synoptic Routes to Subtropical Heat Waves as Illustrated in the Brisbane Region of Australia.
Quinting, J. F.; Parker, T. J.; Reeder, M. J.
2018. Geophysical research letters, 45 (19), 10,700–10,708. doi:10.1029/2018GL079261
The effects of orography on the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones: a case study of Typhoon Sinlaku (2008).
Lentink, H. S.; Grams, C. M.; Riemer, M.; Jones, S. C.
2018. Monthly weather review, 146, 4231–4246. doi:10.1175/MWR-D-18-0150.1
An atmospheric dynamics‘ perspective on the amplification and propagation of forecast error in numerical weather prediction models: a case study.
Grams, C. M.; Magnusson, L.; Madonna, E.
2018. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (717), 2577–2591. doi:10.1002/qj.3353
Influence of blocking on Northern European and Western Russian heatwaves in large climate model ensembles.
Schaller, N.; Sillmann, J.; Anstey, J.; Fischer, E. M.; Grams, C. M.; Russo, S.
2018. Environmental research letters, 13 (5), Art.Nr. 054015. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aaba55
Rossby wave initiation by recurving tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific.
Riboldi, J.; Röthlisberger, M.; Grams, C. M.
2018. Monthly weather review, 146 (5), 1283–1301. doi:10.1175/MWR-D-17-0219.1
Relevant publications before group start


Portmann R., B. Crezee, J. Quinting, H. Wernli, 2018: The complex life cycles of two long‐lived potential vorticity cut‐offs over Europe. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 144, 701–719,

Quinting, J.F., T. Parker, and M.J. Reeder, 2018: Two Synoptic Routes to Subtropical Heat Waves as Illustrated in the Brisbane Region of Australia, Geophys. Res. Lett., 45,

Schäfler, A., and Coauthors, 2018: The North Atlantic Waveguide and Downstream Impact Experiment. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99, 1607–1637, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0003.1.


Beerli, R., H. Wernli, and C. M. Grams, 2017: Does the lower stratosphere provide predictability for month-ahead wind electricity generation in Europe? Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., 143, 3025–3036, doi:10.1002/qj.3158.

Binder, H., M. Boettcher, C. M. Grams, H. Joos, S. Pfahl, and H. Wernli, 2017: Exceptional Air Mass Transport and Dynamical Drivers of an Extreme Wintertime Arctic Warm Event. Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 2017GL075841, doi:10.1002/2017GL075841.

Büeler, D., and S. Pfahl, 2017: Potential Vorticity Diagnostics to Quantify Effects of Latent Heating in Extratropical Cyclones. Part I: Methodology. J. Atmos. Sci., 74, 3567–3590, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-17-0041.1.

Grams, C. M., R. Beerli, S. Pfenninger, I. Staffell, and H. Wernli, 2017: Balancing Europe/’s wind-power output through spatial deployment informed by weather regimes. Nature Climate Change, 7, 557–562, doi:10.1038/nclimate3338.

Madonna, E., C. Li, C. M. Grams, and T. Woollings, 2017: The link between eddy-driven jet variability and weather regimes in the North Atlantic-European sector. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc, 143, 2960–2972, doi:10.1002/qj.3155.

Quinting, J.F. and M.J. Reeder, 2017: Southeastern Australian Heat Waves from a Trajectory Viewpoint. External Link Mon. Wea. Rev., 145, 4109–4125,

Schneidereit, A., and Coauthors, 2017: Enhanced Tropospheric Wave Forcing of Two Anticyclones in the Prephase of the January 2009 Major Stratospheric Sudden Warming Event. Mon. Wea. Rev., 145, 1797–1815, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-16-0242.1.


Grams, C. M., and H. M. Archambault, 2016: The key role of diabatic outflow in amplifying the midlatitude flow: a representative case study of weather systems surrounding western North Pacific extratropical transition. Mon. Wea. Rev., 144, 3847–3869, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-15-0419.1.

Quinting, J. F., and S. C. Jones, 2016: On the Impact of Tropical Cyclones on Rossby Wave Packets: A Climatological Perspective. Mon. Wea. Rev., 144, 2021–2048, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-14-00298.1.


Madonna, E., M. Boettcher, C. M. Grams, H. Joos, O. Martius, and H. Wernli, 2015: Verification of North Atlantic warm conveyor belt outflowsin ECMWF forecasts. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., 141, 1333–1344, doi:10.1002/qj.2442.

Pfahl, S., C. Schwierz, M. Croci-Maspoli, C. M. Grams, and H. Wernli, 2015: Importance of latent heat release in ascending air streams for atmospheric blocking. Nature Geosci, 8, 610–614, doi:10.1038/ngeo2487.

Piaget, N., P. Froidevaux, P. Giannakaki, F. Gierth, O. Martius, M. Riemer, G. Wolf, and C. M. Grams, 2015: Dynamics of a local Alpine flooding event in October 2011: moisture source and large-scale circulation. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., 141, 1922–1937, doi:10.1002/qj.2496.

Before 2015

Grams, C. M., H. Binder, S. Pfahl, N. Piaget, and H. Wernli, 2014: Atmospheric processes triggering the central European floods in June 2013. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 1691–1702, doi:10.5194/nhess-14-1691-2014.

Grams, C. M., and Coauthors, 2011: The key role of diabatic processes in modifying the upper-tropospheric wave guide: a North Atlantic case-study. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., 137, 2174–2193, doi:10.1002/qj.891.