Publications
2023
Meteorological conditions during periods of low wind speed and insolation in Germany: The role of weather regimes
Mockert, F.; Grams, C. M.; Brown, T.; Neumann, F.
2023. Meteorological Applications, 30 (4), Art.Nr.: e2141. doi:10.1002/met.2141
Mockert, F.; Grams, C. M.; Brown, T.; Neumann, F.
2023. Meteorological Applications, 30 (4), Art.Nr.: e2141. doi:10.1002/met.2141
Sub-seasonal to decadal predictions in support of climate services
Osman, M.; Domeisen, D. I. V.; Robertson, A. W.; Weisheimer, A.
2023. Climate Services, 30, Art.Nr.: 100397. doi:10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100397
Osman, M.; Domeisen, D. I. V.; Robertson, A. W.; Weisheimer, A.
2023. Climate Services, 30, Art.Nr.: 100397. doi:10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100397
Everything Hits at Once: How Remote Rainfall Matters for the Prediction of the 2021 North American Heat Wave
Oertel, A.; Pickl, M.; Quinting, J. F.; Hauser, S.; Wandel, J.; Magnusson, L.; Balmaseda, M.; Vitart, F.; Grams, C. M.
2023. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (3), Art.Nr:e2022GL100958. doi:10.1029/2022GL100958
Oertel, A.; Pickl, M.; Quinting, J. F.; Hauser, S.; Wandel, J.; Magnusson, L.; Balmaseda, M.; Vitart, F.; Grams, C. M.
2023. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (3), Art.Nr:e2022GL100958. doi:10.1029/2022GL100958
A multi-disciplinary analysis of the exceptional flood event of July 2021 in central Europe. Part 1: Event description and analysis
Mohr, S.; Ehret, U.; Kunz, M.; Ludwig, P.; Caldas-Alvarez, A.; Daniell, J. E.; Ehmele, F.; Feldmann, H.; Franca, M. J.; Gattke, C.; Hundhausen, M.; Knippertz, P.; Küpfer, K.; Mühr, B.; Pinto, J. G.; Quinting, J.; Schäfer, A. M.; Scheibel, M.; Seidel, F.; Wisotzky, C.
2023. Natural hazards and earth system sciences, 23 (2), 525–551. doi:10.5194/nhess-23-525-2023
Mohr, S.; Ehret, U.; Kunz, M.; Ludwig, P.; Caldas-Alvarez, A.; Daniell, J. E.; Ehmele, F.; Feldmann, H.; Franca, M. J.; Gattke, C.; Hundhausen, M.; Knippertz, P.; Küpfer, K.; Mühr, B.; Pinto, J. G.; Quinting, J.; Schäfer, A. M.; Scheibel, M.; Seidel, F.; Wisotzky, C.
2023. Natural hazards and earth system sciences, 23 (2), 525–551. doi:10.5194/nhess-23-525-2023
The Linkage of Serial Cyclone Clustering in Western Europe and Weather Regimes in the North Atlantic‐European Region in Boreal Winter
Hauser, S.; Mueller, S.; Chen, X.; Chen, T.-C.; Pinto, J. G.; Grams, C. M.
2023. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (2), e2022GL101900. doi:10.1029/2022GL101900
Hauser, S.; Mueller, S.; Chen, X.; Chen, T.-C.; Pinto, J. G.; Grams, C. M.
2023. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (2), e2022GL101900. doi:10.1029/2022GL101900
Interaction of microphysics and dynamics in a warm conveyor belt simulated with the ICOsahedral Nonhydrostatic (ICON) model
Oertel, A.; Miltenberger, A. K.; Grams, C. M.; Hoose, C.
2023. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 23 (15), 8553–8581. doi:10.5194/acp-23-8553-2023
Oertel, A.; Miltenberger, A. K.; Grams, C. M.; Hoose, C.
2023. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 23 (15), 8553–8581. doi:10.5194/acp-23-8553-2023
Visual analysis of model parameter sensitivities along warm conveyor belt trajectories using Met.3D (1.6.0-multivar1)
Neuhauser, C.; Hieronymus, M.; Kern, M.; Rautenhaus, M.; Oertel, A.; Westermann, R.
2023. Geoscientific Model Development, 16 (16), 4617–4638. doi:10.5194/gmd-16-4617-2023
Neuhauser, C.; Hieronymus, M.; Kern, M.; Rautenhaus, M.; Oertel, A.; Westermann, R.
2023. Geoscientific Model Development, 16 (16), 4617–4638. doi:10.5194/gmd-16-4617-2023
Warm conveyor belts as amplifiers of forecast uncertainty
Pickl, M.; Quinting, J. F.; Grams, C. M.
2023. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. doi:10.1002/qj.4546
Pickl, M.; Quinting, J. F.; Grams, C. M.
2023. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. doi:10.1002/qj.4546
The three-dimensional structure of fronts in mid-latitude weather systems in numerical weather prediction models
Beckert, A. A.; Eisenstein, L.; Oertel, A.; Hewson, T.; Craig, G. C.; Rautenhaus, M.
2023. Geoscientific Model Development, 16 (15), 4427–4450. doi:10.5194/gmd-16-4427-2023
Beckert, A. A.; Eisenstein, L.; Oertel, A.; Hewson, T.; Craig, G. C.; Rautenhaus, M.
2023. Geoscientific Model Development, 16 (15), 4427–4450. doi:10.5194/gmd-16-4427-2023
Aerosol–cloud–radiation interaction during Saharan dust episodes: the dusty cirrus puzzle
Seifert, A.; Bachmann, V.; Filipitsch, F.; Förstner, J.; Grams, C. M.; Hoshyaripour, G. A.; Quinting, J.; Rohde, A.; Vogel, H.; Wagner, A.; Vogel, B.
2023. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 23 (11), 6409–6430. doi:10.5194/acp-23-6409-2023
Seifert, A.; Bachmann, V.; Filipitsch, F.; Förstner, J.; Grams, C. M.; Hoshyaripour, G. A.; Quinting, J.; Rohde, A.; Vogel, H.; Wagner, A.; Vogel, B.
2023. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 23 (11), 6409–6430. doi:10.5194/acp-23-6409-2023
Towards a holistic understanding of blocked regime dynamics through a combination of complementary diagnostic perspectives
Hauser, S.; Teubler, F.; Riemer, M.; Knippertz, P.; Grams, C. M.
2023. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4 (2), 399–425. doi:10.5194/wcd-4-399-2023
Hauser, S.; Teubler, F.; Riemer, M.; Knippertz, P.; Grams, C. M.
2023. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4 (2), 399–425. doi:10.5194/wcd-4-399-2023
Similarity and variability of blocked weather-regime dynamics in the Atlantic–European region
Teubler, F.; Riemer, M.; Polster, C.; Grams, C. M.; Hauser, S.; Wirth, V.
2023. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4 (2), 265–285. doi:10.5194/wcd-4-265-2023
Teubler, F.; Riemer, M.; Polster, C.; Grams, C. M.; Hauser, S.; Wirth, V.
2023. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 4 (2), 265–285. doi:10.5194/wcd-4-265-2023
A multi-disciplinary analysis of the exceptional flood event of July 2021 in central Europe – Part 2: Historical context and relation to climate change
Ludwig, P.; Ehmele, F.; Franca, M. J.; Mohr, S.; Caldas-Alvarez, A.; Daniell, J. E.; Ehret, U.; Feldmann, H.; Hundhausen, M.; Knippertz, P.; Küpfer, K.; Kunz, M.; Mühr, B.; Pinto, J. G.; Quinting, J.; Schäfer, A. M.; Seidel, F.; Wisotzky, C.
2023. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 23 (4), 1287–1311. doi:10.5194/nhess-23-1287-2023
Ludwig, P.; Ehmele, F.; Franca, M. J.; Mohr, S.; Caldas-Alvarez, A.; Daniell, J. E.; Ehret, U.; Feldmann, H.; Hundhausen, M.; Knippertz, P.; Küpfer, K.; Kunz, M.; Mühr, B.; Pinto, J. G.; Quinting, J.; Schäfer, A. M.; Seidel, F.; Wisotzky, C.
2023. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 23 (4), 1287–1311. doi:10.5194/nhess-23-1287-2023
On the interaction of stochastic forcing and regime dynamics
Dorrington, J.; Palmer, T.
2023. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 30 (1), 49–62. doi:10.5194/npg-30-49-2023
Dorrington, J.; Palmer, T.
2023. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 30 (1), 49–62. doi:10.5194/npg-30-49-2023
2022
CMIP6 Models Trend Toward Less Persistent European Blocking Regimes in a Warming Climate
Dorrington, J.; Strommen, K.; Fabiano, F.; Molteni, F.
2022. Geophysical Research Letters, 49 (24), Art.Nr.e2022GL100811. doi:10.1029/2022GL100811
Dorrington, J.; Strommen, K.; Fabiano, F.; Molteni, F.
2022. Geophysical Research Letters, 49 (24), Art.Nr.e2022GL100811. doi:10.1029/2022GL100811
Are We at Risk of Losing the Current Generation of Climate Researchers to Data Science?
Jain, S.; Mindlin, J.; Koren, G.; Gulizia, C.; Steadman, C.; Langendijk, G. S.; Osman, M.; Abid, M. A.; Rao, Y.; Rabanal, V.
2022. AGU Advances, 3 (4). doi:10.1029/2022AV000676
Jain, S.; Mindlin, J.; Koren, G.; Gulizia, C.; Steadman, C.; Langendijk, G. S.; Osman, M.; Abid, M. A.; Rao, Y.; Rabanal, V.
2022. AGU Advances, 3 (4). doi:10.1029/2022AV000676
Enhanced human heat exposure in summer in a Central European courtyard subsequently roofed with transparent ETFE foil cushions
Lee, H.; Oertel, A.; Mayer, H.
2022. Urban Climate, 44, Art.-Nr.: 101210. doi:10.1016/j.uclim.2022.101210
Lee, H.; Oertel, A.; Mayer, H.
2022. Urban Climate, 44, Art.-Nr.: 101210. doi:10.1016/j.uclim.2022.101210
Advances in the application and utility of subseasonal-to-seasonal predictions
White, C. J.; Domeisen, D. I. V.; Acharya, N.; Adefisan, E. A.; Anderson, M. L.; Aura, S.; Balogun, A. A.; Bertram, D.; Bluhm, S.; Brayshaw, D. J.; Browell, J.; Büeler, D.; Charlton-Perez, A.; Chourio, X.; Christel, I.; Coelho, C. A. S.; DeFlorio, M. J.; Delle Monache, L.; Di Giuseppe, F.; García-Solórzano, A. M.; Gibson, P. B.; Goddard, L.; González Romero, C.; Graham, R. J.; Graham, R. M.; Grams, C. M.; Halford, A.; Katty Huang, W. T.; Jensen, K.; Kilavi, M.; Lawal, K. A.; Lee, R. W.; MacLeod, D.; Manrique-Suñén, A.; Martins, E. S. P. R.; Maxwell, C. J.; Merryfield, W. J.; Muñoz, Á. G.; Olaniyan, E.; Otieno, G.; Oyedepo, J. A.; Palma, L.; Pechlivanidis, I. G.; Pons, D.; Ralph, F. M.; Reis Jr., D. S.; Remenyi, T. A.; Risbey, J. S.; Robertson, D. J. C.; Robertson, A. W.; Smith, S.; Soret, A.; Sun, T.; Todd, M. C.; Tozer, C. R.; Vasconcelos Jr., F. C.; Vigo, I.; Waliser, D. E.; Wetterhall, F.; Wilson, R. G.
2022. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103 (6), E1448–E1472. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0224.1
White, C. J.; Domeisen, D. I. V.; Acharya, N.; Adefisan, E. A.; Anderson, M. L.; Aura, S.; Balogun, A. A.; Bertram, D.; Bluhm, S.; Brayshaw, D. J.; Browell, J.; Büeler, D.; Charlton-Perez, A.; Chourio, X.; Christel, I.; Coelho, C. A. S.; DeFlorio, M. J.; Delle Monache, L.; Di Giuseppe, F.; García-Solórzano, A. M.; Gibson, P. B.; Goddard, L.; González Romero, C.; Graham, R. J.; Graham, R. M.; Grams, C. M.; Halford, A.; Katty Huang, W. T.; Jensen, K.; Kilavi, M.; Lawal, K. A.; Lee, R. W.; MacLeod, D.; Manrique-Suñén, A.; Martins, E. S. P. R.; Maxwell, C. J.; Merryfield, W. J.; Muñoz, Á. G.; Olaniyan, E.; Otieno, G.; Oyedepo, J. A.; Palma, L.; Pechlivanidis, I. G.; Pons, D.; Ralph, F. M.; Reis Jr., D. S.; Remenyi, T. A.; Risbey, J. S.; Robertson, D. J. C.; Robertson, A. W.; Smith, S.; Soret, A.; Sun, T.; Todd, M. C.; Tozer, C. R.; Vasconcelos Jr., F. C.; Vigo, I.; Waliser, D. E.; Wetterhall, F.; Wilson, R. G.
2022. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103 (6), E1448–E1472. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0224.1
Climate Scenarios for Switzerland CH2018 – Approach and Implications
Fischer, A. M.; Strassmann, K. M.; Croci-Maspoli, M.; Hama, A. M.; Knutti, R.; Kotlarski, S.; Schär, C.; Schnadt Poberaj, C.; Ban, N.; Bavay, M.; Beyerle, U.; Bresch, D. N.; Brönnimann, S.; Burlando, P.; Casanueva, A.; Fatichi, S.; Feigenwinter, I.; Fischer, E. M.; Hirschi, M.; Liniger, M. A.; Marty, C.; Medhaug, I.; Peleg, N.; Pickl, M.; Raible, C. C.; Rajczak, J.; Rössler, O.; Scherrer, S. C.; Schwierz, C.; Seneviratne, S. I.; Skelton, M.; Sørland, S. L.; Spirig, C.; Tschurr, F.; Zeder, J.; Zubler, E. M.
2022. Climate Services, 26, Art.-Nr.: 100288. doi:10.1016/j.cliser.2022.100288
Fischer, A. M.; Strassmann, K. M.; Croci-Maspoli, M.; Hama, A. M.; Knutti, R.; Kotlarski, S.; Schär, C.; Schnadt Poberaj, C.; Ban, N.; Bavay, M.; Beyerle, U.; Bresch, D. N.; Brönnimann, S.; Burlando, P.; Casanueva, A.; Fatichi, S.; Feigenwinter, I.; Fischer, E. M.; Hirschi, M.; Liniger, M. A.; Marty, C.; Medhaug, I.; Peleg, N.; Pickl, M.; Raible, C. C.; Rajczak, J.; Rössler, O.; Scherrer, S. C.; Schwierz, C.; Seneviratne, S. I.; Skelton, M.; Sørland, S. L.; Spirig, C.; Tschurr, F.; Zeder, J.; Zubler, E. M.
2022. Climate Services, 26, Art.-Nr.: 100288. doi:10.1016/j.cliser.2022.100288
EuLerian Identification of ascending AirStreams (ELIAS 2.0) in numerical weather prediction and climate models - Part 2: Model application to different datasets
Quinting, J. F.; Grams, C. M.; Oertel, A.; Pickl, M.
2022. Geoscientific Model Development, 15 (2), 731–744. doi:10.5194/gmd-15-731-2022
Quinting, J. F.; Grams, C. M.; Oertel, A.; Pickl, M.
2022. Geoscientific Model Development, 15 (2), 731–744. doi:10.5194/gmd-15-731-2022
Climate predictability on seasonal timescales over South America from the NMME models
Andrian, L. G.; Osman, M.; Vera, C. S.
2022. Climate Dynamics, 60 (11), 3261–3276. doi:10.1007/s00382-022-06506-8
Andrian, L. G.; Osman, M.; Vera, C. S.
2022. Climate Dynamics, 60 (11), 3261–3276. doi:10.1007/s00382-022-06506-8
Quantifying stratospheric biases and identifying their potential sources in subseasonal forecast systems
Lawrence, Z. D.; Abalos, M.; Ayarzagüena, B.; Barriopedro, D.; Butler, A. H.; Calvo, N.; de la Cámara, A.; Charlton-Perez, A.; Domeisen, D. I. V.; Dunn-Sigouin, E.; García-Serrano, J.; Garfinkel, C. I.; Hindley, N. P.; Jia, L.; Jucker, M.; Karpechko, A. Y.; Kim, H.; Lang, A. L.; Lee, S. H.; Lin, P.; Osman, M.; Palmeiro, F. M.; Perlwitz, J.; Polichtchouk, I.; Richter, J. H.; Schwartz, C.; Son, S.-W.; Statnaia, I.; Taguchi, M.; Tyrrell, N. L.; Wright, C. J.; Wu, R. W.-Y.
2022. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 3 (3), 977–1001. doi:10.5194/wcd-3-977-2022
Lawrence, Z. D.; Abalos, M.; Ayarzagüena, B.; Barriopedro, D.; Butler, A. H.; Calvo, N.; de la Cámara, A.; Charlton-Perez, A.; Domeisen, D. I. V.; Dunn-Sigouin, E.; García-Serrano, J.; Garfinkel, C. I.; Hindley, N. P.; Jia, L.; Jucker, M.; Karpechko, A. Y.; Kim, H.; Lang, A. L.; Lee, S. H.; Lin, P.; Osman, M.; Palmeiro, F. M.; Perlwitz, J.; Polichtchouk, I.; Richter, J. H.; Schwartz, C.; Son, S.-W.; Statnaia, I.; Taguchi, M.; Tyrrell, N. L.; Wright, C. J.; Wu, R. W.-Y.
2022. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 3 (3), 977–1001. doi:10.5194/wcd-3-977-2022
A multi-disciplinary analysis of the exceptional flood event of July 2021 in central Europe - Part 2: Historical context and relation to climate change
Ludwig, P.; Ehmele, F.; Franca, M. J.; Mohr, S.; Caldas-Alvarez, A.; Daniell, J. E.; Ehret, U.; Feldmann, H.; Hundhausen, M.; Knippertz, P.; Küpfer, K.; Kunz, M.; Mühr, B.; Pinto, J. G.; Quinting, J.; Schäfer, A. M.; Seidel, F.; Wisotzky, C.
2022. Natural hazards and earth system sciences discussions. doi:10.5194/nhess-2022-225
Ludwig, P.; Ehmele, F.; Franca, M. J.; Mohr, S.; Caldas-Alvarez, A.; Daniell, J. E.; Ehret, U.; Feldmann, H.; Hundhausen, M.; Knippertz, P.; Küpfer, K.; Kunz, M.; Mühr, B.; Pinto, J. G.; Quinting, J.; Schäfer, A. M.; Seidel, F.; Wisotzky, C.
2022. Natural hazards and earth system sciences discussions. doi:10.5194/nhess-2022-225
The effect of stochastically perturbed parametrisation tendencies (SPPT) on rapidly ascending air streams
Pickl, M.; Lang, S. T. K.; Leutbecher, M.; Grams, C. M.
2022. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 148 (744), 1242–1261. doi:10.1002/qj.4257
Pickl, M.; Lang, S. T. K.; Leutbecher, M.; Grams, C. M.
2022. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 148 (744), 1242–1261. doi:10.1002/qj.4257
Tropospheric Role in the Predictability of the Surface Impact of the 2018 Sudden Stratospheric Warming Event
González-Alemán, J. J.; Grams, C. M.; Ayarzagüena, B.; Zurita-Gotor, P.; Domeisen, D. I. V.; Gómara, I.; Rodríguez-Fonseca, B.; Vitart, F.
2022. Geophysical research letters, 49 (1). doi:10.1029/2021GL095464
González-Alemán, J. J.; Grams, C. M.; Ayarzagüena, B.; Zurita-Gotor, P.; Domeisen, D. I. V.; Gómara, I.; Rodríguez-Fonseca, B.; Vitart, F.
2022. Geophysical research letters, 49 (1). doi:10.1029/2021GL095464
EuLerian Identification of ascending AirStreams (ELIAS 2.0) in numerical weather prediction and climate models - Part 1: Development of deep learning model
Quinting, J. F.; Grams, C. M.
2022. Geoscientific Model Development, 15 (2), 715–730. doi:10.5194/gmd-15-715-2022
Quinting, J. F.; Grams, C. M.
2022. Geoscientific Model Development, 15 (2), 715–730. doi:10.5194/gmd-15-715-2022
Dynamics and predictability of cold spells over the Eastern Mediterranean
Hochman, A.; Scher, S.; Quinting, J.; Pinto, J. G.; Messori, G.
2022. Climate dynamics, 58, 2047–2064. doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05465-2
Hochman, A.; Scher, S.; Quinting, J.; Pinto, J. G.; Messori, G.
2022. Climate dynamics, 58, 2047–2064. doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05465-2
2021
Toward a systematic evaluation of warm conveyor belts in numerical weather prediction and climate models. Part II: Verification of operational reforecasts
Wandel, J.; Quinting, J. F.; Grams, C. M.
2021. Journal of the atmospheric sciences, 78 (12), 3965–3982. doi:10.1175/JAS-D-20-0385.1
Wandel, J.; Quinting, J. F.; Grams, C. M.
2021. Journal of the atmospheric sciences, 78 (12), 3965–3982. doi:10.1175/JAS-D-20-0385.1
Quantifying the circulation induced by convective clouds in kilometer-scale simulations
Oertel, A.; Schemm, S.
2021. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (736), 1752–1766. doi:10.1002/qj.3992
Oertel, A.; Schemm, S.
2021. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (736), 1752–1766. doi:10.1002/qj.3992
Towards a systematic evaluation of warm conveyor belts in numerical weather prediction and climate models. Part I: Predictor selection and logistic regression model
Quinting, J. F.; Grams, C. M.
2021. Journal of the atmospheric sciences, 78 (5), 1465–1485. doi:10.1175/JAS-D-20-0139.1
Quinting, J. F.; Grams, C. M.
2021. Journal of the atmospheric sciences, 78 (5), 1465–1485. doi:10.1175/JAS-D-20-0139.1
Observations and simulation of intense convection embedded in a warm conveyor belt – how ambient vertical wind shear determines the dynamical impact
Oertel, A.; Sprenger, M.; Joos, H.; Boettcher, M.; Konow, H.; Hagen, M.; Wernli, H.
2021. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 2 (1), 89–110. doi:10.5194/wcd-2-89-2021
Oertel, A.; Sprenger, M.; Joos, H.; Boettcher, M.; Konow, H.; Hagen, M.; Wernli, H.
2021. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 2 (1), 89–110. doi:10.5194/wcd-2-89-2021
Do Atlantic‐European weather regimes physically exist?
Hochman, A.; Messori, G.; Quinting, J. F.; Pinto, J. G.; Grams, C. M.
2021. Geophysical research letters, 48 (20), e2021GL095574. doi:10.1029/2021GL095574
Hochman, A.; Messori, G.; Quinting, J. F.; Pinto, J. G.; Grams, C. M.
2021. Geophysical research letters, 48 (20), e2021GL095574. doi:10.1029/2021GL095574
EuLerian Identification of Ascending air Streams (ELIAS 2.0) in Numerical Weather Prediction and Climate Models. Part II: Model application to different data sets
Quinting, J. F.; Grams, C. M.; Oertel, A.; Pickl, M.
2021. Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, 2021. doi:10.5194/gmd-2021-278
Quinting, J. F.; Grams, C. M.; Oertel, A.; Pickl, M.
2021. Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, 2021. doi:10.5194/gmd-2021-278
EuLerian Identification of ascending Air Streams (ELIAS 2.0) in Numerical Weather Prediction and Climate Models. Part I: Development of deep learning model
Quinting, J. F.; Grams, C. M.
2021. Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, 2021, Article no: 276. doi:10.5194/gmd-2021-276
Quinting, J. F.; Grams, C. M.
2021. Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, 2021, Article no: 276. doi:10.5194/gmd-2021-276
Year-round sub-seasonal forecast skill for Atlantic-European weather regimes
Büeler, D.; Ferranti, L.; Magnusson, L.; Quinting, J. F.; Grams, C. M.
2021. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (741), 4283–4309. doi:10.1002/qj.4178
Büeler, D.; Ferranti, L.; Magnusson, L.; Quinting, J. F.; Grams, C. M.
2021. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 147 (741), 4283–4309. doi:10.1002/qj.4178
A new view of heat wave dynamics and predictability over the eastern Mediterranean
Hochman, A.; Scher, S.; Quinting, J.; Pinto, J. G.; Messori, G.
2021. Earth System Dynamics, 12 (1), 133–149. doi:10.5194/esd-12-133-2021
Hochman, A.; Scher, S.; Quinting, J.; Pinto, J. G.; Messori, G.
2021. Earth System Dynamics, 12 (1), 133–149. doi:10.5194/esd-12-133-2021
2020
Stratospheric influence on ECMWF sub‐seasonal forecast skill for energy‐industry‐relevant surface weather in European countries
Büeler, D.; Beerli, R.; Wernli, H.; Grams, C. M.
2020. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (733), 3675–3694. doi:10.1002/qj.3866
Büeler, D.; Beerli, R.; Wernli, H.; Grams, C. M.
2020. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (733), 3675–3694. doi:10.1002/qj.3866
Dynamics of concurrent and sequential Central European and Scandinavian heatwaves
Spensberger, C.; Madonna, E.; Boettcher, M.; Grams, C. M.; Papritz, L.; Quinting, J. F.; Röthlisberger, M.; Sprenger, M.; Zschenderlein, P.
2020. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (732), 2998–3013. doi:10.1002/qj.3822
Spensberger, C.; Madonna, E.; Boettcher, M.; Grams, C. M.; Papritz, L.; Quinting, J. F.; Röthlisberger, M.; Sprenger, M.; Zschenderlein, P.
2020. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (732), 2998–3013. doi:10.1002/qj.3822
The role of North Atlantic–European weather regimes in the surface impact of sudden stratospheric warming events
Domeisen, D. I. V.; Grams, C. M.; Papritz, L.
2020. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 1 (2), 373–388. doi:10.5194/wcd-1-373-2020
Domeisen, D. I. V.; Grams, C. M.; Papritz, L.
2020. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 1 (2), 373–388. doi:10.5194/wcd-1-373-2020
The role of large-scale dynamics in an exceptional sequence of severe thunderstorms in Europe May–June 2018
Mohr, S.; Wilhelm, J.; Wandel, J.; Kunz, M.; Portmann, R.; Punge, H. J.; Schmidberger, M.; Quinting, J. F.; Grams, C. M.
2020. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 1 (2), 325–348. doi:10.5194/wcd-1-325-2020
Mohr, S.; Wilhelm, J.; Wandel, J.; Kunz, M.; Portmann, R.; Punge, H. J.; Schmidberger, M.; Quinting, J. F.; Grams, C. M.
2020. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 1 (2), 325–348. doi:10.5194/wcd-1-325-2020
Ambient conditions prevailing during hail events in central Europe
Kunz, M.; Wandel, J.; Fluck, E.; Baumstark, S.; Mohr, S.; Schemm, S.
2020. Natural hazards and earth system sciences, 20 (6), 1867–1887. doi:10.5194/nhess-20-1867-2020
Kunz, M.; Wandel, J.; Fluck, E.; Baumstark, S.; Mohr, S.; Schemm, S.
2020. Natural hazards and earth system sciences, 20 (6), 1867–1887. doi:10.5194/nhess-20-1867-2020
The synoptic-dynamics of summertime heatwaves in the Sydney area (Australia)
Parker, T.; Quinting, J.; Reeder, M.
2020. Journal of southern hemisphere earth systems science, 69 (1), 116–130. doi:10.1071/ES19004
Parker, T.; Quinting, J.; Reeder, M.
2020. Journal of southern hemisphere earth systems science, 69 (1), 116–130. doi:10.1071/ES19004
A weather system perspective on winter‐spring rainfall variability in southeastern Australia during El Niño
Hauser, S.; Grams, C. M.; Reeder, M. J.; McGregor, S.; Fink, A. H.; Quinting, J. F.
2020. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731), 2614–2633. doi:10.1002/qj.3808
Hauser, S.; Grams, C. M.; Reeder, M. J.; McGregor, S.; Fink, A. H.; Quinting, J. F.
2020. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146 (731), 2614–2633. doi:10.1002/qj.3808
Synoptic-scale controls of fog and low-cloud variability in the Namib Desert
Andersen, H.; Cermak, J.; Fuchs, J.; Knippertz, P.; Gaetani, M.; Quinting, J.; Sippel, S.; Vogt, R.
2020. Atmospheric chemistry and physics, 20 (6), 3415–3438. doi:10.5194/acp-20-3415-2020
Andersen, H.; Cermak, J.; Fuchs, J.; Knippertz, P.; Gaetani, M.; Quinting, J.; Sippel, S.; Vogt, R.
2020. Atmospheric chemistry and physics, 20 (6), 3415–3438. doi:10.5194/acp-20-3415-2020
Sub-national variability of wind power generation in complex terrain and its correlation with large-scale meteorology
Pickering, B.; Grams, C. M.; Pfenninger, S.
2020. Environmental research letters, 15 (4), Article: 044025. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab70bd
Pickering, B.; Grams, C. M.; Pfenninger, S.
2020. Environmental research letters, 15 (4), Article: 044025. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab70bd
Ambient conditions prevailing during hail events in central Europe
Kunz, M.; Wandel, J.; Fluck, E.; Baumstark, S.; Mohr, S.; Schemm, S.
2020. Natural hazards and earth system sciences discussions, 20 (6), 1867–1887. doi:10.5194/nhess-2019-412
Kunz, M.; Wandel, J.; Fluck, E.; Baumstark, S.; Mohr, S.; Schemm, S.
2020. Natural hazards and earth system sciences discussions, 20 (6), 1867–1887. doi:10.5194/nhess-2019-412
2019
Three Ways Forward to Improve Regional Information for Extreme Events: An Early Career Perspective
Langendijk, G. S.; Aubry-Wake, C.; Osman, M.; Gulizia, C.; Attig-Bahar, F.; Behrens, E.; Bertoncini, A.; Hart, N.; Indasi, V. S.; Innocenti, S.; van der Linden, E. C.; Mamnun, N.; Rasouli, K.; Reed, K. A.; Ridder, N.; Rivera, J.; Ruscica, R.; Ukazu, B. U.; Walawender, J. P.; Walker, D. P.; Woodhams, B. J.; Yılmaz, Y. A.
2019. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 7. doi:10.3389/fenvs.2019.00006
Langendijk, G. S.; Aubry-Wake, C.; Osman, M.; Gulizia, C.; Attig-Bahar, F.; Behrens, E.; Bertoncini, A.; Hart, N.; Indasi, V. S.; Innocenti, S.; van der Linden, E. C.; Mamnun, N.; Rasouli, K.; Reed, K. A.; Ridder, N.; Rivera, J.; Ruscica, R.; Ukazu, B. U.; Walawender, J. P.; Walker, D. P.; Woodhams, B. J.; Yılmaz, Y. A.
2019. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 7. doi:10.3389/fenvs.2019.00006
The Future of Midlatitude Cyclones
Catto, J. L.; Ackerley, D.; Booth, J. F.; Champion, A. J.; Colle, B. A.; Pfahl, S.; Pinto, J. G.; Quinting, J. F.; Seiler, C.
2019. Current climate change reports, 5 (4), 407–420. doi:10.1007/s40641-019-00149-4
Catto, J. L.; Ackerley, D.; Booth, J. F.; Champion, A. J.; Colle, B. A.; Pfahl, S.; Pinto, J. G.; Quinting, J. F.; Seiler, C.
2019. Current climate change reports, 5 (4), 407–420. doi:10.1007/s40641-019-00149-4
What controls the formation of nocturnal low-level stratus clouds over southern West Africa during the monsoon season?
Babić, K.; Kalthoff, N.; Adler, B.; Quinting, J. F.; Lohou, F.; Dione, C.; Lothon, M.
2019. Atmospheric chemistry and physics, 19 (21), 13489–13506. doi:10.5194/acp-19-13489-2019
Babić, K.; Kalthoff, N.; Adler, B.; Quinting, J. F.; Lohou, F.; Dione, C.; Lothon, M.
2019. Atmospheric chemistry and physics, 19 (21), 13489–13506. doi:10.5194/acp-19-13489-2019
Representation of atmospheric blocking in the new global non-hydrostatic weather prediction model ICON
Attinger, R.; Keller, J. H.; Köhler, M.; Riboldi, J.; Grams, C. M.
2019. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 28 (5), 429–446. doi:10.1127/metz/2019/0967
Attinger, R.; Keller, J. H.; Köhler, M.; Riboldi, J.; Grams, C. M.
2019. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 28 (5), 429–446. doi:10.1127/metz/2019/0967
Stratospheric modulation of the large‐scale circulation in the Atlantic‐European region and its implications for surface weather events
Beerli, R.; Grams, C. M.
2019. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (725), 3732–3750. doi:10.1002/qj.3653
Beerli, R.; Grams, C. M.
2019. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (725), 3732–3750. doi:10.1002/qj.3653
Winter pressures on the UK health system dominated by the Greenland Blocking weather regime
Charlton-Perez, A. J.; Aldridge, R. W.; Grams, C. M.; Lee, R.
2019. Weather and climate extremes, 25, 100218. doi:10.1016/j.wace.2019.100218
Charlton-Perez, A. J.; Aldridge, R. W.; Grams, C. M.; Lee, R.
2019. Weather and climate extremes, 25, 100218. doi:10.1016/j.wace.2019.100218
Relationship between atmospheric blocking and warm season thunderstorms over western and central Europe
Mohr, S.; Wandel, J.; Lenggenhager, S.; Martius, O.
2019. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (724), 3040–3056. doi:10.1002/qj.3603
Mohr, S.; Wandel, J.; Lenggenhager, S.; Martius, O.
2019. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (724), 3040–3056. doi:10.1002/qj.3603
Potential vorticity diagnostics to quantify effects of latent heating in extratropical cyclones. Part II: application to idealized climate change simulations
Büeler, D.; Pfahl, S.
2019. Journal of the atmospheric sciences, 76 (7), 1885–1902. doi:10.1175/JAS-D-18-0342.1
Büeler, D.; Pfahl, S.
2019. Journal of the atmospheric sciences, 76 (7), 1885–1902. doi:10.1175/JAS-D-18-0342.1
The climatological impact of recurving North Atlantic tropical cyclones on downstream extreme precipitation events
Pohorsky, R.; Röthlisberger, M.; Grams, C. M.; Riboldi, J.; Martius, O.
2019. Monthly weather review, 147 (5), 1513–1532. doi:10.1175/MWR-D-18-0195.1
Pohorsky, R.; Röthlisberger, M.; Grams, C. M.; Riboldi, J.; Martius, O.
2019. Monthly weather review, 147 (5), 1513–1532. doi:10.1175/MWR-D-18-0195.1
Modulation of Atmospheric River Occurrence and Associated Precipitation Extremes in the North Atlantic Region by European Weather Regimes
Pasquier, J. T.; Pfahl, S.; Grams, C. M.
2019. Geophysical research letters, 46 (2), 1014–1023. doi:10.1029/2018GL081194
Pasquier, J. T.; Pfahl, S.; Grams, C. M.
2019. Geophysical research letters, 46 (2), 1014–1023. doi:10.1029/2018GL081194
A phase-locking perspective on Rossby wave amplification and atmospheric blocking downstream of recurving western North Pacific tropical cyclones
Riboldi, J.; Grams, C. M.; Riemer, M.; Archambault, H. M.
2019. Monthly weather review, 147 (2), 567–589. doi:10.1175/MWR-D-18-0271.1
Riboldi, J.; Grams, C. M.; Riemer, M.; Archambault, H. M.
2019. Monthly weather review, 147 (2), 567–589. doi:10.1175/MWR-D-18-0271.1
Representation of synoptic-scale Rossby Wave Packets and Blocking in the S2S Prediction Project Database
Quinting, J. F.; Vitart, F.
2019. Geophysical research letters, 46 (2), 1070–1078. doi:10.1029/2018GL081381
Quinting, J. F.; Vitart, F.
2019. Geophysical research letters, 46 (2), 1070–1078. doi:10.1029/2018GL081381
The Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones Part II: Interaction with the midlatitude flow, downstream impacts, and implications for predictability
Keller, J. H.; Grams, C. M.; Riemer, M.; Archambault, H. M.; Bosart, L.; Doyle, J. D.; Evans, J. L.; Galarneau, T. J., Jr.; Griffin, K.; Harr, P. A.; Kitabatake, N.; McTaggart-Cowan, R.; Pantillon, F.; Quinting, J.; Reynolds, C. A.; Ritchie, E. A.; Torn, R. D.; Zhang, F.
2019. Monthly weather review, 147, 1077–1106. doi:10.1175/MWR-D-17-0329.1
Keller, J. H.; Grams, C. M.; Riemer, M.; Archambault, H. M.; Bosart, L.; Doyle, J. D.; Evans, J. L.; Galarneau, T. J., Jr.; Griffin, K.; Harr, P. A.; Kitabatake, N.; McTaggart-Cowan, R.; Pantillon, F.; Quinting, J.; Reynolds, C. A.; Ritchie, E. A.; Torn, R. D.; Zhang, F.
2019. Monthly weather review, 147, 1077–1106. doi:10.1175/MWR-D-17-0329.1
The intensity and motion of hybrid cyclones in the Australian region in a composite potential vorticity framework
Quinting, J. F.; Reeder, M. J.; Catto, J. L.
2019. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (718), 273–287. doi:10.1002/qj.3430
Quinting, J. F.; Reeder, M. J.; Catto, J. L.
2019. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (718), 273–287. doi:10.1002/qj.3430
Synoptic climatology of hybrid cyclones in the Australian region
Quinting, J. F.; Catto, J. L.; Reeder, M. J.
2019. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (718), 288–302. doi:10.1002/qj.3431
Quinting, J. F.; Catto, J. L.; Reeder, M. J.
2019. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (718), 288–302. doi:10.1002/qj.3431
2018
Two Synoptic Routes to Subtropical Heat Waves as Illustrated in the Brisbane Region of Australia
Quinting, J. F.; Parker, T. J.; Reeder, M. J.
2018. Geophysical research letters, 45 (19), 10,700–10,708. doi:10.1029/2018GL079261
Quinting, J. F.; Parker, T. J.; Reeder, M. J.
2018. Geophysical research letters, 45 (19), 10,700–10,708. doi:10.1029/2018GL079261
Influence of blocking on Northern European and Western Russian heatwaves in large climate model ensembles
Schaller, N.; Sillmann, J.; Anstey, J.; Fischer, E. M.; Grams, C. M.; Russo, S.
2018. Environmental research letters, 13 (5), Art.Nr. 054015. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aaba55
Schaller, N.; Sillmann, J.; Anstey, J.; Fischer, E. M.; Grams, C. M.; Russo, S.
2018. Environmental research letters, 13 (5), Art.Nr. 054015. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aaba55
The effects of orography on the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones: a case study of Typhoon Sinlaku (2008)
Lentink, H. S.; Grams, C. M.; Riemer, M.; Jones, S. C.
2018. Monthly weather review, 146, 4231–4246. doi:10.1175/MWR-D-18-0150.1
Lentink, H. S.; Grams, C. M.; Riemer, M.; Jones, S. C.
2018. Monthly weather review, 146, 4231–4246. doi:10.1175/MWR-D-18-0150.1
An atmospheric dynamics‘ perspective on the amplification and propagation of forecast error in numerical weather prediction models: a case study
Grams, C. M.; Magnusson, L.; Madonna, E.
2018. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (717), 2577–2591. doi:10.1002/qj.3353
Grams, C. M.; Magnusson, L.; Madonna, E.
2018. Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 144 (717), 2577–2591. doi:10.1002/qj.3353
Rossby wave initiation by recurving tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific
Riboldi, J.; Röthlisberger, M.; Grams, C. M.
2018. Monthly weather review, 146 (5), 1283–1301. doi:10.1175/MWR-D-17-0219.1
Riboldi, J.; Röthlisberger, M.; Grams, C. M.
2018. Monthly weather review, 146 (5), 1283–1301. doi:10.1175/MWR-D-17-0219.1
Linking Low‐Frequency Large‐Scale Circulation Patterns to Cold Air Outbreak Formation in the Northeastern North Atlantic
Papritz, L.; Grams, C. M.
2018. Geophysical research letters, 45 (5), 2542–2553. doi:10.1002/2017GL076921
Papritz, L.; Grams, C. M.
2018. Geophysical research letters, 45 (5), 2542–2553. doi:10.1002/2017GL076921
Relevant publications before group start
2018
Portmann R., B. Crezee, J. Quinting, H. Wernli, 2018: The complex life cycles of two long‐lived potential vorticity cut‐offs over Europe. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 144, 701–719, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3239
Quinting, J.F., T. Parker, and M.J. Reeder, 2018: Two Synoptic Routes to Subtropical Heat Waves as Illustrated in the Brisbane Region of Australia, Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079261
Schäfler, A., and Coauthors, 2018: The North Atlantic Waveguide and Downstream Impact Experiment. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99, 1607–1637, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0003.1.
2017
Beerli, R., H. Wernli, and C. M. Grams, 2017: Does the lower stratosphere provide predictability for month-ahead wind electricity generation in Europe? Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., 143, 3025–3036, doi:10.1002/qj.3158.
Binder, H., M. Boettcher, C. M. Grams, H. Joos, S. Pfahl, and H. Wernli, 2017: Exceptional Air Mass Transport and Dynamical Drivers of an Extreme Wintertime Arctic Warm Event. Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 2017GL075841, doi:10.1002/2017GL075841.
Büeler, D., and S. Pfahl, 2017: Potential Vorticity Diagnostics to Quantify Effects of Latent Heating in Extratropical Cyclones. Part I: Methodology. J. Atmos. Sci., 74, 3567–3590, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-17-0041.1.
Grams, C. M., R. Beerli, S. Pfenninger, I. Staffell, and H. Wernli, 2017: Balancing Europe/’s wind-power output through spatial deployment informed by weather regimes. Nature Climate Change, 7, 557–562, doi:10.1038/nclimate3338.
Madonna, E., C. Li, C. M. Grams, and T. Woollings, 2017: The link between eddy-driven jet variability and weather regimes in the North Atlantic-European sector. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc, 143, 2960–2972, doi:10.1002/qj.3155.
, 2017: Southeastern Australian Heat Waves from a Trajectory Viewpoint. 
Mon. Wea. Rev., 145, 4109–4125, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-17-0165.1
Schneidereit, A., and Coauthors, 2017: Enhanced Tropospheric Wave Forcing of Two Anticyclones in the Prephase of the January 2009 Major Stratospheric Sudden Warming Event. Mon. Wea. Rev., 145, 1797–1815, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-16-0242.1.
2016
Grams, C. M., and H. M. Archambault, 2016: The key role of diabatic outflow in amplifying the midlatitude flow: a representative case study of weather systems surrounding western North Pacific extratropical transition. Mon. Wea. Rev., 144, 3847–3869, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-15-0419.1.
Quinting, J. F., and S. C. Jones, 2016: On the Impact of Tropical Cyclones on Rossby Wave Packets: A Climatological Perspective. Mon. Wea. Rev., 144, 2021–2048, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-14-00298.1.
2015
Madonna, E., M. Boettcher, C. M. Grams, H. Joos, O. Martius, and H. Wernli, 2015: Verification of North Atlantic warm conveyor belt outflowsin ECMWF forecasts. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., 141, 1333–1344, doi:10.1002/qj.2442.
Pfahl, S., C. Schwierz, M. Croci-Maspoli, C. M. Grams, and H. Wernli, 2015: Importance of latent heat release in ascending air streams for atmospheric blocking. Nature Geosci, 8, 610–614, doi:10.1038/ngeo2487.
Piaget, N., P. Froidevaux, P. Giannakaki, F. Gierth, O. Martius, M. Riemer, G. Wolf, and C. M. Grams, 2015: Dynamics of a local Alpine flooding event in October 2011: moisture source and large-scale circulation. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., 141, 1922–1937, doi:10.1002/qj.2496.
Before 2015
Grams, C. M., H. Binder, S. Pfahl, N. Piaget, and H. Wernli, 2014: Atmospheric processes triggering the central European floods in June 2013. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 1691–1702, doi:10.5194/nhess-14-1691-2014.
Grams, C. M., and Coauthors, 2011: The key role of diabatic processes in modifying the upper-tropospheric wave guide: a North Atlantic case-study. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., 137, 2174–2193, doi:10.1002/qj.891.